Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Marseille in this match.