Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 27, 2020 at 8pm UK

Orange Vélodrome

Marseille
0 - 3
Man City

Amavi (62'), Caleta-Car (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Torres (18'), Gundogan (76'), Sterling (81')
Laporte (58')

Kevin De Bruyne: 'Patience was key in win over Marseille'

The hosts deployed a five-man back line in the hope of absorbing pressure and hitting City on the break.

Oct 28, 10:01

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on October 17, 2020

Pep Guardiola hails Man City's response to criticism following Marseille win

City, who have had a slow start to the Premier League season, saw off Marseille 3-0.

Oct 27, 23:53

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 54.47%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 23.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Manchester City
23.19%	22.33%	54.47%

Both teams to score 58.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.13%

40.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.75%

63.25%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.85%

31.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.51%

67.48%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.03%

14.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.6%

43.39%

Score Analysis

Marseille 23.19%

Manchester City 54.47%

Draw 22.32%

Marseille	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 6.02% 1-0 @ 5.44% 2-0 @ 3.17% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.76% Total : 23.19%	1-1 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 5.72% 0-0 @ 4.66% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.32%	1-2 @ 9.81% 0-1 @ 8.86% 0-2 @ 8.41% 1-3 @ 6.21% 0-3 @ 5.32% 2-3 @ 3.62% 1-4 @ 2.95% 0-4 @ 2.53% 2-4 @ 1.72% 1-5 @ 1.12% 0-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.47%