Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
