Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Marseille |
46.53% | 25.5% | 27.97% |
Both teams to score 52.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.31% | 50.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.41% | 72.59% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.22% | 21.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.02% | 54.98% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.44% | 32.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.91% | 69.09% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-0 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.34% Total : 46.52% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.96% 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.58% Total : 27.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
6 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
7 | NantesNantes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
8 | Reims | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
9 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 6 |
11 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
12 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
14 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Lyon | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 3 |
18 | Angers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |