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Burnley logo
EFL Cup | Fourth Round
Sep 30, 2020 at 7pm UK
Turf Moor
Manchester City logo

Burnley
0 - 3
Man City

FT(HT: 0-1)
Sterling (35', 49'), Torres (65')
Sterling (76'), Silva (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Summer signing Ferran Torres also claimed his first goal for the club.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday night's EFL Cup fourth round clash between Burnley and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday night's EFL Cup fourth round tie with Burnley at Turf Moor.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday night's EFL Cup fourth round clash with Burnley at Turf Moor.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawManchester City
11.25%17.09%71.66%
Both teams to score 50.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.39%38.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.08%60.92%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.81%44.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.72%80.28%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.5%9.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.13%31.87%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 11.25%
    Manchester City 71.66%
    Draw 17.09%
BurnleyDrawManchester City
1-0 @ 3.43%
2-1 @ 3.3%
2-0 @ 1.4%
3-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 11.25%
1-1 @ 8.07%
0-0 @ 4.2%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 17.09%
0-2 @ 11.63%
0-1 @ 9.88%
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-3 @ 9.13%
1-3 @ 7.45%
0-4 @ 5.37%
1-4 @ 4.39%
2-3 @ 3.04%
0-5 @ 2.53%
1-5 @ 2.07%
2-4 @ 1.79%
0-6 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 71.66%

Head to Head
Jun 22, 2020 8pm
Dec 3, 2019 8.15pm
Apr 28, 2019 2.05pm
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Oct 20, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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