Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Jan 23, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Louis II

Monaco
3 - 1
Marseille

Maripan (47'), Tchouameni (75'), Jovetic (90+2')
Diatta (81'), Golovin (89'), Fofana (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Radonjic (12')
Balerdi (21'), Sakai (49'), Gonzalez (76'), Khaoui (82'), Gueye (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Marseille
52.86%	24.69%	22.45%

Both teams to score 49.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.23%

51.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.47%

73.53%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.45%

19.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.55%

51.45%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.12%

37.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.34%

74.65%

Score Analysis

Monaco 52.86%

Marseille 22.45%

Draw 24.69%

Monaco	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 12.08% 2-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 5.21% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.88% Total : 52.86%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 7.4% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 7.19% 1-2 @ 5.69% 0-2 @ 3.49% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.6% Total : 22.45%