Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 35

May 14, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
1 - 0
Auxerre

Le Douaron (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Brest
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Clermont
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Brest 1-1 Auxerre

With both sides fighting for survival at the bottom end of the table, Brest and Auxerre look set to play out a tense and cagey draw at the Stade Francis-Le Ble. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brest in this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Auxerre
45.07% ( -0.25)	25.76% ( 0.02)	29.17% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 52.72% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.9% (

0.05)

51.1% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.05% (

0.04)

72.95% (

-0.05)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.38% (

-0.1)

22.62% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.75% (

-0.14)

56.25% (

0.14)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.13% (

0.2)

31.87% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.69% (

0.23)

68.31% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Brest 45.06%

Auxerre 29.17%

Draw 25.76%

Brest	Draw	Auxerre
1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 45.06%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.17%