Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.