Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Metz in this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Metz |
34.7% ( -1.12) | 26.93% ( 0.43) | 38.36% ( 0.69) |
Both teams to score 51.01% ( -1.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.8% ( -1.86) | 54.2% ( 1.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.39% ( -1.57) | 75.6% ( 1.57) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.33% ( -1.6) | 29.67% ( 1.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.28% ( -1.98) | 65.72% ( 1.98) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.53% ( -0.48) | 27.47% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.03% ( -0.63) | 62.96% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.7% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lens | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
7 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |