Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Metz2 - 2Marseille
We said: Metz 1-3 Marseille
Marseille's dismal away record and ongoing shortcomings at the back could offer Metz some optimism of a shock result this Friday, and we would not put it past Boloni's men to prolong the visitors' streak without a clean sheet. The hosts' own defensive record does not inspire confidence, though, and a refreshed Marseille team should have no trouble getting back on track to remain perfect in Ligue 1. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Marseille |
31.81% ( -0.03) | 28.92% ( -0.13) | 39.26% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 44.63% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
