Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 68.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 11.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.18%) and 0-3 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajaccio | Draw | Marseille |
11.39% (![]() | 20.25% (![]() | 68.36% (![]() |
Both teams to score 40.78% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.05% (![]() | 51.95% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.31% (![]() | 73.69% (![]() |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.55% (![]() | 52.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.7% (![]() | 86.3% (![]() |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.78% (![]() | 14.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.05% (![]() | 41.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ajaccio | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 4.81% (![]() 2-1 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 2% Total : 11.39% | 1-1 @ 9.39% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.46% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.45% Total : 20.25% | 0-1 @ 14.54% (![]() 0-2 @ 14.18% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 9.23% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.16% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.14% Total : 68.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |