Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Lens3 - 0Ajaccio
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lorient 1-3 Lens
Sunday, May 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, May 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-5 Rennes
Sunday, May 21 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, May 21 at 12pm in Ligue 1
We said: Lens 4-0 Ajaccio
With suspensions and injuries decimating their squad, Ajaccio need nothing short of a miracle to leave the Stade Bollaert-Delelis with anything to show for their efforts, and Haise's side will not be in any sort of merciful mood. While we have faith in Pantaloni's men to avoid a third successive 5-0 defeat, a Lens side who often score for fun on their own turf should confirm a second-placed finish in style, with a few goals along the way. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 6.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.17%) and 1-0 (11.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Ajaccio |
79.39% ( 0.01) | 14.19% ( -0.01) | 6.42% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 39.09% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.27% ( 0.01) | 41.73% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.87% ( 0.01) | 64.13% ( -0.01) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.54% ( 0.01) | 8.46% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.64% ( 0.01) | 29.36% ( -0.01) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.7% ( -0.01) | 57.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 10.79% ( -0.01) | 89.21% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 79.38%
Ajaccio 6.42%
Draw 14.19%
| Lens | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 2-0 @ 14.78% 3-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0)4-0 @ 7.51% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.78% 4-1 @ 4.19% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.71% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.07% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.53% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.39% Total : 79.38% | 1-1 @ 6.67% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0)2-2 @ 2.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 14.19% | 0-1 @ 2.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.86% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 6.42% |
How you voted: Lens vs Ajaccio
Lens
90.5%Draw
0.0%Ajaccio
9.5%21
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 2pm
gameweek 2
Ajaccio
0-0
Lens
May 1, 2020 7pm
gameweek 36
Lens
P-P
Ajaccio
May 10, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 37
Ajaccio
0-2
Lens
May 9, 2019
1am
