Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 6.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.17%) and 1-0 (11.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Ajaccio |
79.39% (![]() | 14.19% (![]() | 6.42% (![]() |
Both teams to score 39.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.27% (![]() | 41.73% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.87% (![]() | 64.13% (![]() |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.54% (![]() | 8.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.64% (![]() | 29.36% (![]() |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.7% (![]() | 57.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.79% (![]() | 89.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Ajaccio |
2-0 @ 14.78% 3-0 @ 12.17% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 8.23% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.78% 4-1 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.71% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.39% Total : 79.38% | 1-1 @ 6.67% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.29% ( ![]() Other @ 0.38% Total : 14.19% | 0-1 @ 2.7% (![]() 1-2 @ 1.86% ( ![]() Other @ 1.86% Total : 6.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 22 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 59 | 20 | 39 | 56 |
2 | Marseille | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 46 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Nice | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Lille | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Lyon | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Lens | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 |
8 | Brest | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 32 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Toulouse | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
11 | Auxerre | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
12 | Rennes | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Angers | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Reims | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 22 |
15 | NantesNantes | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 21 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 18 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 17 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |