Had Cabella not tapped the ball into the grateful gloves of Yehvann Diouf when it seemed harder to miss, Reims would not have come away from their clash with Lille unscathed, and they are unlikely to experience such good fortune versus Lens.
The re-introduction of Abdul Samed will only add to Les Sang et Or's midfield steel, and with Openda still finding the back of the net for fun, Lens should take another giant step towards Champions League qualification with a straightforward victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Reims had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Reims win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
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