Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38

Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
2 - 3
Clermont

Ramos (16'), Mbappe (21' pen.)
Mbappe (28'), Pereira (76')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Gastien (24'), Zeffane (45+1'), Kyei (63')
Wieteska (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Saturday's Ligue 1 clash with Clermont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 PSG
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 2-0 Lorient
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Clermont

While Clermont command plenty of respect from their title-winning hosts, Gastien's side realistically only have pride to play for, and recent shortcomings on their travels will do them no favours whatsoever. PSG's depleted defence is hardly impenetrable on the Parc des Princes turf, but in what will likely be the farewell match of Galtier, Messi and others, the champions should grind out a professional win to give their departing contingent the perfect send-off. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.03%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 10.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-2 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Clermont
74.03% ( 1.44)	15.83% ( -0.81)	10.14% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 51.09% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.2% (

2.01)

35.79% (

-2.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.13% (

2.19)

57.87% (

-2.19)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.73% (

0.82)

8.26% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.13% (

2.01)

28.86% (

-2.01)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.69% (

0.18)

44.31% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.62% (

0.14)

80.38% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 74.03%

Clermont 10.14%

Draw 15.83%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Clermont
2-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.57) 3-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.32) 4-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.27) 5-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.13) 6-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.15) 6-1 @ 1% ( 0.13) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.79% Total : 74.03%	1-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.38) Other @ 0.97% Total : 15.83%	1-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 10.14%