Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Angers had a probability of 10.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.21%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for an Angers win it was 2-1 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
10.11% ( 0.03) | 15.25% ( 0.02) | 74.65% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.36% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.1% ( 0) | 32.9% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.39% ( 0) | 54.61% ( 0) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.66% ( 0.05) | 42.34% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.27% ( 0.04) | 78.73% ( -0.04) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.55% ( -0.01) | 7.45% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.2% ( -0.02) | 26.8% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 2.71% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 10.11% | 1-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.15% 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.25% | 0-2 @ 10.63% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.91% 0-4 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 5.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0) 0-5 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.67% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.21% ( 0) 0-6 @ 1.34% ( -0) 1-6 @ 1.16% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 74.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |