PSG4 - 2Nantes
The Match
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, February 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Nantes
Even with the injury concerns still piling up and their most influential midfielder in Verratti suspended, PSG can take advantage of Nantes' midweek fatigue to warm up for Bayern in the best possible fashion. Ex-PSG boss Kombouare has seen his side lose the rearguard reliability that typified their performances earlier in 2023, so their trip to the capital should be a miserable one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nantes |
70.19% ( 0.21) | 17.26% ( -0.13) | 12.55% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.35% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.16% ( 0.42) | 35.84% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.08% ( 0.46) | 57.92% ( -0.46) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.87% ( 0.16) | 9.13% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.01% ( 0.38) | 30.99% ( -0.38) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.82% ( 0.15) | 40.18% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.18% ( 0.14) | 76.82% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nantes |
| 2-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.58% Total : 70.19% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.26% | 1-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 12.55% |
