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Europa League
Nantes
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Juventus logo

Nantes
0 - 3
Juventus


Traore (81'), Lafont (90+4')
Pallois (17')
FT(HT: 0-2)
di Maria (5', 20' pen., 78')
Cuadrado (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Nantes and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Lens 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, February 19 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Juventus

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Juventus
Sunday, February 19 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Nantes 1-2 Juventus (Juventus to win 3-2 on aggregate)

 Nantes will relish their role as underdogs in front of their home supporters, and, as they demonstrated in the first leg, have the credentials to cause problems for Juventus on Thursday. However, the Italians boast plenty of European experience and, on paper, have a stronger squad that should be capable of grinding out a slender victory to advance to the last 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawJuventus
30.45% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 25.71% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 43.84% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (0.012 0.01)50.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (0.010000000000002 0.01)72.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)30.52% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.26% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)66.74% (0.012 0.01)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.019000000000005 0.02)22.85% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (0.024999999999999 0.02)56.58% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 30.45%
    Juventus 43.84%
    Draw 25.7%
NantesDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.12%
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 30.45%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 10.29%
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.74% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 43.84%

How you voted: Nantes vs Juventus

Nantes
17.9%
Draw
9.9%
Juventus
72.2%
252
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2023 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs
Juventus
1-1
Nantes
Vlahovic (13')
Chiesa (54'), Danilo (75')
Blas (60')
Castelletto (45+1'), Mohamed (57'), Corchia (90')
rhs 2.0
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