Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals

Feb 2, 2023 at 8pm UK

Juventus Stadium

Juventus
1 - 0
Lazio

Bremer (44')
Cuadrado (65'), Perin (79'), Danilo (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zaccagni (68')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Juventus and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Juventus 0-2 Monza
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, January 29 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Lazio have kept 11 clean sheets in the first half of a Serie A season for the first time in 50 years, Juventus have not lost once at home in the Coppa Italia for 18 games. A cagey battle between the clashing styles of Sarri and Allegri could be in store, then, and the Old Lady's former boss may heap more misery on his old employers and leave Turin with the prize of a semi-final place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Lazio
44.76% ( -0.27)	24.78% ( -0.12)	30.45% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 56.64% (

0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.7% (

0.73)

46.3% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.41% (

0.68)

68.59% (

-0.68)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.25% (

0.19)

20.75% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.62% (

0.29)

53.38% (

-0.29)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.47% (

0.63)

28.52% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.69% (

0.78)

64.3% (

-0.78)

Score Analysis

Juventus 44.76%

Lazio 30.45%

Draw 24.78%

Juventus	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 44.76%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.78%	0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.45%