Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Jan 29, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Casale (8')
Zaccagni (45+2'), Immobile (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez (49')
Kouame (40'), Amrabat (68'), Saponara (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 4-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-1 Torino
Saturday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

As Fiorentina have really struggled to score on the road and Lazio are among Italy's most secure sides defensively, there can only be one outcome when they meet this weekend. The capital city club are on fluent form, with 'Sarrisimo' fully embedded in their fabric, and have suitably grand plans for the rest of 2023. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Fiorentina
47.25% ( 0.08)	25.47% ( -0.04)	27.28% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.35% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.03% (

0.13)

50.97% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.16% (

0.12)

72.84% (

-0.12)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.42% (

0.09)

21.58% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.33% (

0.14)

54.66% (

-0.14)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.76% (

0.04)

33.24% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.15% (

0.04)

69.85% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Lazio 47.24%

Fiorentina 27.28%

Draw 25.47%

Lazio	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.43% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 47.24%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.28%