MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:31:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Parma logo
Roma logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Venezia
Serie A header desktop

Serie A
Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Fiorentina logo

Roma
2 - 0
Fiorentina

Dybala (40', 82')
Smalling (15'), Kumbulla (55'), Bove (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dodo (4'), Gonzalez (55'), Julio (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Fiorentina, including team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Genoa
Thursday, January 12 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Sampdoria
Thursday, January 12 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Roma 1-1 Fiorentina

 This one could go the distance: Roma have scored six of their last seven Serie A goals after the 80th minute, while Fiorentina have netted the most of any side in the 90th minute and beyond (five). As such, plenty of twists and turns may be in store, though the spoils are likely to end up being shared in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawFiorentina
44.35% (-1.102 -1.1) 26.68% (-0.12 -0.12) 28.96% (1.221 1.22)
Both teams to score 49.78% (1.095 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.16% (1.048 1.05)54.84% (-1.049 -1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.86% (0.86 0.86)76.13% (-0.86 -0.86)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)24.59% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.91% (-0.107 -0.11)59.08% (0.105 0.11)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.02% (1.515 1.52)33.98% (-1.517 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.34% (1.604 1.6)70.66% (-1.604 -1.6)
Score Analysis
    Roma 44.35%
    Fiorentina 28.96%
    Draw 26.68%
RomaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 11.72% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.378 -0.38)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 44.35%
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.36% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.177 0.18)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 9.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.266 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.87% (0.2 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.191 0.19)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.14 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 28.96%

How you voted: Roma vs Fiorentina

Roma
56.8%
Draw
28.4%
Fiorentina
14.8%
88
Head to Head
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
Fiorentina
2-0
Roma
Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')

Mancini (24')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Fiorentina
Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-2
Roma
Spinazzola (60' og.)
Ribery (71')
Spinazzola (49'), Diawara (88')
Mancini (40'), Kumbulla (74')
Nov 1, 2020 5pm
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Spinazzola (12'), Pedro (70')
Dzeko (24'), Veretout (33'), Cristante (90+1')

Castrovilli (32'), Lirola (51')
Martinez (88')
Jul 26, 2020 6.30pm
Roma
2-1
Fiorentina
Veretout (45' pen., 87' pen.)
Mancini (90+6')
Milenkovic (54')
Pezzella (35'), Caceres (72'), Ghezzal (86'), Pezzella (88'), Milenkovic (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!