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Roma logo
Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Jan 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Genoa logo

Roma
1 - 0
Genoa

Dybala (64')
Bove (35'), Zaniolo (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Czyborra (59'), Bani (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Roma and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 2-2 Roma
Sunday, January 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bari 1-2 Genoa
Monday, December 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B

We said: Roma 2-0 Genoa

Although Mourinho may choose to make several selection changes given his side's push for the top four and involvement in European football this season, Roma should still have too much strength in depth for their second-tier opponents and be able to secure safe passage through to the quarter-finals as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
RomaDrawGenoa
47.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.2% (0.0039999999999978 0) 26.61% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.64% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.74%54.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35%75.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.99% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)56.78% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.46% (0.016000000000005 0.02)35.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (0.012 0.01)72.31% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Roma 47.19%
    Genoa 26.61%
    Draw 26.19%
RomaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 47.19%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 8.45% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.37% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 26.61%

How you voted: Roma vs Genoa

Roma
85.3%
Draw
12.7%
Genoa
2.0%
102
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 2pm
Roma
0-0
Genoa

Mancini (35'), Zaniolo (90+1'), Abraham (90+4')
Zaniolo (90+5')

Vanheusden (25'), Vasquez (79')
Skiri Oestigaard (69')
Nov 21, 2021 7.45pm
Genoa
0-2
Roma

Cambiaso (32'), Badelj (54'), Sabelli (78')
Afena-Gyan (82', 90+4')
Veretout (40'), Mourinho (49'), Afena-Gyan (89')
Mar 7, 2021 11.30am
Roma
1-0
Genoa
Mancini (24')
Mancini (65')

Masiello (42'), Destro (45+1'), Strootman (64'), Criscito (84')
Nov 8, 2020 2pm
Genoa
1-3
Roma
Pjaca (50')
Zajc (6'), Maran (84')
Mkhitaryan (45+2', 67', 85')
Jan 19, 2020 5pm
Genoa
1-3
Roma
Pandev (45')
Romero (38'), Cassata (61')
Under (6'), Biraschi (44' og.), Dzeko (74')
Veretout (26'), Dzeko (73'), Lopez (81')
rhs 2.0
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