MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:59:05| >> :600:3353840:3353840:
Genoa logo
Coppa Italia | Second Round
Oct 18, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
SPAL logo

Genoa
1 - 0
SPAL

Gudmundsson (45+1' pen.)
Hefti (78'), Puscas (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zanellato (11'), Almici (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Genoa and SPAL, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Cosenza 1-2 Genoa
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B

SPAL

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Cittadella 0-0 SPAL
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B

We said: Genoa 2-0 SPAL

 With Genoa in good league form, they will be confident heading into the game against SPAL, who are still getting used to the ideas of their new manager. We would expect Genoa to continue their unbeaten run, as they also beat SPAL recently in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Genoa.

Result
GenoaDrawSPAL
46.15% (-0.58 -0.58) 25.61% (0.185 0.18) 28.24% (0.393 0.39)
Both teams to score 52.6% (-0.299 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.03% (-0.523 -0.52)50.97% (0.522 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.16% (-0.46 -0.46)72.84% (0.46000000000001 0.46)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93% (-0.479 -0.48)22.07% (0.476 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.58% (-0.728 -0.73)55.42% (0.726 0.73)
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (0.028000000000006 0.03)32.5% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (0.033000000000001 0.03)69.02% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 46.14%
    SPAL 28.24%
    Draw 25.61%
GenoaDrawSPAL
1-0 @ 10.83% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 46.14%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.17% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.174 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 28.24%

How you voted: Genoa vs SPAL

Genoa
89.1%
Draw
10.9%
SPAL
0.0%
46
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 1pm
SPAL
0-2
Genoa
Coda (19'), Gudmundsson (88')
Vogliacco (11')
Jul 12, 2020 4.15pm
Genoa
2-0
SPAL
Nov 25, 2019 7.45pm
SPAL
1-1
Genoa
Petagna (55' pen.)
Petagna (28'), Missiroli (41')
Sturaro (57')
Ghiglione (61')
Apr 28, 2019 2pm
SPAL
1-1
Genoa
Felipe (36')
Felipe (4'), Vicari (39'), Petagna (53')
Lapadula (56')
Romero (62'), Rolon (66'), Lapadula (81')
Dec 9, 2018 5pm
Genoa
1-1
SPAL
Piatek (38' pen.)
Veloso (55')
Criscito (11')
Petagna (15')
Petagna (25'), Bonifazi (34'), Vicari (81'), Floccari (85'), Valdifiori (87')
rhs 2.0
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