Serie B | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa1 - 0Modena
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Genoa and Modena.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palermo 1-0 Genoa
Friday, September 9 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, September 9 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Ascoli | 5 | 1 | 8 |
9 | Genoa | 5 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Cosenza Calcio | 5 | 0 | 7 |
Last Game: Modena 1-3 Brescia
Saturday, September 10 at 2pm in Serie B
Saturday, September 10 at 2pm in Serie B
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Perugia | 5 | -4 | 4 |
18 | Modena | 5 | -2 | 3 |
19 | Como | 5 | -5 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Modena had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Modena |
42.82% ( -0.58) | 26.98% ( -0.27) | 30.2% ( 0.84) |
Both teams to score 49.53% ( 1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.53% ( 1.32) | 55.47% ( -1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.34% ( 1.07) | 76.65% ( -1.07) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% ( 0.3) | 25.65% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% ( 0.41) | 60.54% ( -0.41) |
Modena Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.62% ( 1.33) | 33.38% ( -1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.99% ( 1.43) | 70.01% ( -1.43) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa 42.82%
Modena 30.2%
Draw 26.98%
Genoa | Draw | Modena |
1-0 @ 11.65% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.82% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.2% |