Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Jan 4, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 0
Bologna

Pellegrini (6' pen.)
Ibanez (33'), Celik (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ferguson (69'), Motta (71'), Aebischer (85'), Dominguez (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Roma and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Thursday, December 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 3-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

The form table would suggest an upset could be on the cards here, but it remains to be seen how relevant recent results are given the amount of time which has lapsed since Serie A's last action. As such, we can envisage Roma bouncing back into life by edging an entertaining encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 67.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Bologna
67.91% ( 0.11)	19.42% ( -0.13)	12.67% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.05% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.41% (

0.63)

45.58% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.09% (

0.6)

67.91% (

-0.6)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.59% (

0.22)

12.4% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.71% (

0.46)

38.29% (

-0.46)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.72% (

0.43)

46.28% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.06% (

0.33)

81.94% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Roma 67.91%

Bologna 12.67%

Draw 19.42%

Roma	Draw	Bologna
2-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 67.91%	1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.73% Total : 19.42%	0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.12% Total : 12.67%