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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Bologna logo

Roma
1 - 0
Bologna

Pellegrini (6' pen.)
Ibanez (33'), Celik (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ferguson (69'), Motta (71'), Aebischer (85'), Dominguez (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Roma and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Thursday, December 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bologna 3-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-1 Bologna

The form table would suggest an upset could be on the cards here, but it remains to be seen how relevant recent results are given the amount of time which has lapsed since Serie A's last action. As such, we can envisage Roma bouncing back into life by edging an entertaining encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 67.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawBologna
67.91% (0.114 0.11) 19.42% (-0.135 -0.13) 12.67% (0.022 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.05% (0.494 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.41% (0.63200000000001 0.63)45.58% (-0.631 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09% (0.598 0.6)67.91% (-0.598 -0.6)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.59% (0.22 0.22)12.4% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.71% (0.458 0.46)38.29% (-0.457 -0.46)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.72% (0.431 0.43)46.28% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.06% (0.329 0.33)81.94% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Roma 67.91%
    Bologna 12.67%
    Draw 19.42%
RomaDrawBologna
2-0 @ 12.5% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 11.98% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.54% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.9% (0.029 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 67.91%
1-1 @ 9.23% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-2 @ 3.71% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 19.42%
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.56% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 0.95% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.91% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 12.67%

How you voted: Roma vs Bologna

Roma
74.2%
Draw
15.5%
Bologna
10.3%
97
Head to Head
May 1, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
Bologna
1-0
Roma
Svanberg (35')
Soriano (38'), Skorupski (88'), Sansone (90+2')

Abraham (45+1'), Perez (59'), Zaniolo (72'), Mourinho (81'), Karsdorp (90+2')
Apr 11, 2021 5pm
Dec 13, 2020 2pm
Bologna
1-5
Roma
Cristante (24' og.)
Soriano (53'), Vignato (63'), Mihajlovic (64'), Baldursson (78'), Dominguez (89')
Poli (5' og.), Dzeko (10'), Pellegrini (15'), Veretout (35'), Mkhitaryan (44')
Veretout (43'), Ibanez (49')
Feb 7, 2020 7.45pm
Roma
2-3
Bologna
Denswil (22' og.), Mkhitaryan (72')
Santon (59'), Peres (85')
Cristante (80')
Orsolini (16'), Barrow (26', 51')
Svanberg (38'), Schouten (55'), Bani (59'), Skorupski (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14Como122461323-1010
15Genoa12246922-1310
16CagliariCagliari11236919-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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