Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Jan 15, 2023 at 11.30am UK

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo
0 - 2
Lazio

Ruan (45+2'), Toljan (45+2'), Rogerio (64'), Erlic (83'), Lopez (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zaccagni (45+3' pen.), Anderson (90+4')
Casale (18'), Cataldi (45+2'), Hysaj (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, January 7 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Empoli
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Already enduring a tough time this term, Sassuolo have now lost their attacking focal point to injury and are ill-placed to take advantage of Lazio's recent loss of form. Even if they take the lead, the Neroverdi are always susceptible to leaving the back door open and can be stung by their visitors' potent front line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Lazio
29.85% ( -0.5)	24.45% ( -0.31)	45.7% ( 0.8)

Both teams to score 57.43% (

0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.89% (

1.12)

45.11% (

-1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.54% (

1.07)

67.46% (

-1.07)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66% (

0.23)

28.34% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.93% (

0.29)

64.07% (

-0.28)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.14% (

0.81)

19.86% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.05% (

1.29)

51.95% (

-1.29)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 29.85%

Lazio 45.7%

Draw 24.45%

Sassuolo	Draw	Lazio
2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.85%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.45%	1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.98% Total : 45.7%