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Serie A
Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Milan logo

Lazio
4 - 0
AC Milan

Milinkovic-Savic (4'), Zaccagni (38'), Alberto (67' pen.), Anderson (75')
Milinkovic-Savic (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bennacer (26'), Kjaer (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Lazio and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Bologna
Thursday, January 19 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, January 18 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

We said: Lazio 1-2 AC Milan

 With both managers intent on controlling possession and playing offensive styles, this should be an entertaining clash between two of Italy's biggest clubs. However, Immobile's injury could prove pivotal in terms of influencing the result, with Milan always a potent threat in transition on the road. As such, we can envisage an important away win for Pioli's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawAC Milan
33.33% (1.331 1.33) 25.3% (0.046000000000003 0.05) 41.37% (-1.38 -1.38)
Both teams to score 56.11% (0.302 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.46% (0.184 0.18)47.53% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26% (0.172 0.17)69.74% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (0.934 0.93)27.27% (-0.936 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.29% (1.198 1.2)62.7% (-1.199 -1.2)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (-0.586 -0.59)22.85% (0.584 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41% (-0.87200000000001 -0.87)56.59% (0.871 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 33.33%
    AC Milan 41.37%
    Draw 25.29%
LazioDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 8.1% (0.148 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.77% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.231 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.28% (0.156 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.33%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.235 -0.23)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.79% (-0.295 -0.3)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41.37%

How you voted: Lazio vs AC Milan

Lazio
19.5%
Draw
18.1%
AC Milan
62.4%
226
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 7.45pm
Lazio
1-2
AC Milan
Immobile (4')
Strakosha (8'), Leiva (53'), Cataldi (74')
Giroud (50'), Tonali (90+2')
Tomori (26'), Kalulu (83'), Ibrahimovic (85'), Tonali (90+4')
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
AC Milan
4-0
Lazio
Leao (24'), Giroud (41', 45+1'), Kessie (79')
Tonali (22')

Felipe (15')
Sep 12, 2021 5pm
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
Leao (45'), Ibrahimovic (67')
Bakayoko (63')

Marusic (17'), Reina (45+5'), Alberto (45+7'), Hysaj (57')
Sarri (90+5')
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
Lazio
3-0
AC Milan
Correa (2', 51'), Immobile (87')
Acerbi (19'), Milinkovic-Savic (57')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
3-2
Lazio
Rebic (10'), Calhanoglu (17' pen.), Hernandez (90+2')
Krunic (41'), Pioli (44'), Hernandez (78')
Alberto (28'), Immobile (59')
Inzaghi (27'), Escalante (39'), Alberto (64'), Akpa-Akpro (80'), Muriqi (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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