Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Jan 4, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
1 - 2
AC Milan

Bonazzoli (83')
Piatek (73'), Bradaric (76'), Coulibaly (81'), Daniliuc (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Leao (10'), Tonali (15')
Giroud (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-0 Salernitana
Saturday, December 10 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: PSV 3-0 AC Milan
Friday, December 30 at 5.15pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Salernitana 1-2 AC Milan

Milan must keep winning in order to stay in touch with Napoli at a key stage of the season, and we are expecting the reigning champions to navigate their way to an important three points on Wednesday, but they might have to suffer for stages of the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Salernitana win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	AC Milan
21.36% ( 1.16)	21.39% ( 0.07)	57.25% ( -1.23)

Both teams to score 59.27% (

1.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.27% (

1.27)

38.73% (

-1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.96% (

1.32)

61.03% (

-1.32)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.42% (

1.82)

31.58% (

-1.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.02% (

2.04)

67.98% (

-2.04)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.63% (

0.05)

13.37% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.73% (

0.09)

40.27% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 21.36%

AC Milan 57.25%

Draw 21.39%

Salernitana	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.62% Total : 21.36%	1-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.39%	1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.49) 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.5) 1-3 @ 6.61% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 1.34% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.58% Total : 57.25%