Friendlies

Dec 13, 2022 at 2pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
2 - 1
AC Milan

Odegaard (21'), Nelson (41')
Nketiah (71'), Elneny (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Tomori (78')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: Arsenal 3-0 Lyon
Thursday, December 8 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: AC Milan 2-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, November 13 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	AC Milan
37.79% ( -0.42)	24.17% ( -0.07)	38.04% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 60.83% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.3% (

0.34)

41.7% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.9% (

0.34)

64.1% (

-0.34)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.93% (

-0.06)

22.07% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.58% (

-0.09)

55.42% (

0.09)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.06% (

0.4)

21.94% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.78% (

0.6)

55.22% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 37.79%

AC Milan 38.04%

Draw 24.16%

Arsenal	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.79%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16%	1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.04%