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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Oct 30, 2022 at 2pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Arsenal
5 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Martinelli (5'), Nelson (49', 52'), Partey (57'), Odegaard (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Nottingham Forest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Nottingham Forest.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash with Nottingham Forest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 2-0 Arsenal
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 Liverpool
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League

We said: Arsenal 2-0 Nottingham Forest

Arsenal facing newly-promoted teams at the Emirates usually only ever ends one way, but the fatigued Gunners can take nothing for granted versus a Forest side who are growing in confidence by the week, especially with Arteta's side consistently failing to keep the opposition at bay at home. However, Cooper is yet to find an answer to his side's profligacy on the road, and a return to familiar turf should be the formula for a welcome three points for Arsenal here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 78.76%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 6.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.85%) and 3-0 (12.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawNottingham Forest
78.76% (0.605 0.61) 15.03% (-0.236 -0.24) 6.21% (-0.368 -0.37)
Both teams to score 35.18% (-1.226 -1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.57% (-0.434 -0.43)46.43% (0.435 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (-0.411 -0.41)68.71% (0.413 0.41)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.25% (0.042999999999992 0.04)9.75% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.55% (0.101 0.1)32.45% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.98% (-1.377 -1.38)61.02% (1.38 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.84% (-0.696 -0.7)91.16% (0.697 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 78.75%
    Nottingham Forest 6.21%
    Draw 15.03%
ArsenalDrawNottingham Forest
2-0 @ 16.12% (0.36 0.36)
1-0 @ 13.85% (0.28 0.28)
3-0 @ 12.5% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 7.96% (-0.185 -0.19)
4-0 @ 7.28% (0.188 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.6% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-0 @ 3.39% (0.093 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.67% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.105 -0.11)
6-0 @ 1.32% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 78.75%
1-1 @ 6.84% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.108 0.11)
2-2 @ 1.97% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 15.03%
0-1 @ 2.94% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 1.69% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 6.21%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Nott'm Forest

Arsenal
78.0%
Draw
9.1%
Nottingham Forest
12.8%
296
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 5.10pm
Jan 7, 2018 4pm
Nott'm Forest
4-2
Arsenal
Lichaj (20', 44'), Brereton (64' pen.), Dowell (85' pen.)
Worrall (89')
Mertesacker (23'), Welbeck (79')
Debuchy (84'), Ospina (85'), Mertesacker (86'), Welbeck (86')
Jan 16, 1999 3pm
Aug 17, 1998 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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