Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 14

Oct 30, 2022 at 2pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
5 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Martinelli (5'), Nelson (49', 52'), Partey (57'), Odegaard (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gibbs-White (44')

Steve Cooper frustrated with Nottingham Forest's effort in Arsenal mauling

Head coach Steve Cooper admits that he was disappointed with Nottingham Forest's work-rate during their 5-0 defeat at Arsenal on Sunday afternoon.

Oct 30, 19:13

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on October 30, 2022

Mikel Arteta issues Bukayo Saka update, lavishes praise on Reiss Nelson

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta provides an update on Bukayo Saka's injury while hailing the impact of Reiss Nelson in their 5-0 win over Nottingham Forest.

Oct 30, 17:39

Arsenal's Bukayo Saka goes down injured on October 30, 2022

Arsenal, England dealt Bukayo Saka injury concern ahead of World Cup

Arsenal attacker Bukayo Saka comes off with an injury in the first half of the Gunners' Premier League clash with Nottingham Forest.

Oct 30, 15:02

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: PSV 2-0 Arsenal
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 Liverpool
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Arsenal 2-0 Nottingham Forest

Arsenal facing newly-promoted teams at the Emirates usually only ever ends one way, but the fatigued Gunners can take nothing for granted versus a Forest side who are growing in confidence by the week, especially with Arteta's side consistently failing to keep the opposition at bay at home. However, Cooper is yet to find an answer to his side's profligacy on the road, and a return to familiar turf should be the formula for a welcome three points for Arsenal here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 78.76%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 6.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.85%) and 3-0 (12.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Nottingham Forest
78.76% ( 0.61)	15.03% ( -0.24)	6.21% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 35.18% (

-1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.57% (

-0.43)

46.43% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.29% (

-0.41)

68.71% (

0.41)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.25% (

0.04)

9.75% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.55% (

0.1)

32.45% (

-0.1)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

38.98% (

-1.38)

61.02% (

1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.84% (

-0.7)

91.16% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 78.75%

Nottingham Forest 6.21%

Draw 15.03%

Arsenal	Draw	Nottingham Forest
2-0 @ 16.12% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 13.85% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.36% Total : 78.75%	1-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.27% Total : 15.03%	0-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.58% Total : 6.21%