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Arsenal logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Brighton logo

Arsenal
1 - 3
Brighton

Nketiah (20')
Elneny (25'), Hein (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Welbeck (27' pen.), Mitoma (58'), Lamptey (71')
Caicedo (8'), Sarmiento (43')

The Match

Match Report

Arsenal are knocked out of the EFL Cup in the third round after a 3-1 defeat to Brighton & Hove Albion at the Emirates.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Arsenal and Brighton & Hove Albion.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Arsenal and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, November 6 at 12pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 2-3 Brighton
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 57.9%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 21.06% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
ArsenalDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
57.9% (-0.784 -0.78) 21.04% (0.357 0.36) 21.06% (0.429 0.43)
Both teams to score 60.08% (-0.61 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.54% (-1.104 -1.1)37.46% (1.105 1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.31% (-1.198 -1.2)59.69% (1.2 1.2)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.23% (-0.574 -0.57)12.77% (0.576 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.95% (-1.198 -1.2)39.05% (1.201 1.2)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (-0.241 -0.24)31.12% (0.245 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55% (-0.283 -0.28)67.45% (0.286 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 57.9%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 21.06%
    Draw 21.04%
ArsenalDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.081 0.08)
1-0 @ 8.18% (0.257 0.26)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-0 @ 5.78% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.93% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.147 -0.15)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.1 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.093 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 57.9%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.237 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.209 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.04%
1-2 @ 5.57% (0.102 0.1)
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.214 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.71% (0.108 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 21.06%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Brighton

Arsenal
84.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion
15.2%
204
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Arsenal
1-2
Brighton
Odegaard (89')
Odegaard (39'), Saka (50'), Sambi Lokonga (82')
Trossard (29'), Mwepu (66')
Bissouma (35'), Gross (40'), Caicedo (52'), Sanchez (90+1')
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
May 23, 2021 4pm
Dec 29, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
2 Denmark Denmark30303
3 Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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