MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 07:40:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arsenal logo
Aston Villa logo
Bournemouth logo
Brentford logo
Brighton logo
Chelsea logo
Crystal Palace logo
Everton logo
Fulham logo
Ipswich logo
Leicester logo
Liverpool logo
Manchester City logo
Manchester United logo
Newcastle logo
Nottingham Forest logo
Southampton logo
Spurs logo
West Ham logo
Wolves logo
Brentford logo
Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Brighton logo

Brentford
2 - 0
Brighton

Toney (27', 64' pen.)
Frank (44'), Jensen (45+1'), Baptiste (90+2'), Toney (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

De Zerbi (44'), Caicedo (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 5-1 Brentford
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Brentford 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brentford have fared better on home soil so far this term, but they come up against a Brighton outfit who have lost only two of their last 13 Premier League games. We can see De Zerbi's attackers taking advantage of Brentford's leaky backline, with the Italian securing his first win as head coach of the Seagulls. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
BrentfordDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
32.21% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33) 25.64% (-0.11 -0.11) 42.15% (0.436 0.44)
Both teams to score 54.58% (0.25 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (0.375 0.38)49.35% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (0.335 0.34)71.4% (-0.33399999999999 -0.33)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)28.87% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)64.74% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (0.381 0.38)23.26% (-0.38 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81% (0.552 0.55)57.18% (-0.552 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 32.21%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 42.15%
    Draw 25.63%
BrentfordDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.18% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 32.21%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 9.8% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.87% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.14% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.044 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.037 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.15%

How you voted: Brentford vs Brighton

Brentford
23.7%
Draw
18.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion
57.4%
392
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2022 3pm
Dec 26, 2021 8pm
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Brentford
0-1
Brighton

Canos (6'), Mbeumo (17'), Ajer (74')
Trossard (90')
Veltman (55'), Duffy (57')
Feb 5, 2017 3pm
Brentford
3-3
Brighton
Jota (15'), Dean (22'), Kerschbaumer (94')
McEachran (64'), Kerschbaumer (91')
March (75'), Duffy (78'), Hemed (97')
Sidwell (64'), Saltor (95')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Brighton
0-2
Brentford

Knockaert (32'), Hemed (45'), Bong (60'), Manu (63'), Stephens (75')
Hogan (29', 70')
Woods (26'), Egan (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!