Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 11

Oct 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
2 - 0
Brighton

Toney (27', 64' pen.)
Frank (44'), Jensen (45+1'), Baptiste (90+2'), Toney (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

De Zerbi (44'), Caicedo (45+2')

Thomas Frank: 'Brentford forward Ivan Toney close to becoming world class'

Brentford head coach Thomas Frank says that Ivan Toney is "closer and closer" to becoming regarded as world class after his double in the win over Brighton & Hove Albion.

Oct 15, 10:00

Brentford players celebrate Ivan Toney's goal against Brighton & Hove Albion on October 14, 2022

Ivan Toney scores twice as Brentford beat Brighton & Hove Albion

Brentford move into eighth position in the Premier League table courtesy of a 2-0 victory over Brighton & Hove Albion.

Oct 14, 21:55

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle 5-1 Brentford
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 0-1 Spurs
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Brentford 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brentford have fared better on home soil so far this term, but they come up against a Brighton outfit who have lost only two of their last 13 Premier League games. We can see De Zerbi's attackers taking advantage of Brentford's leaky backline, with the Italian securing his first win as head coach of the Seagulls. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
32.21% ( -0.33)	25.64% ( -0.11)	42.15% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 54.58% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.65% (

0.38)

49.35% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.6% (

0.34)

71.4% (

-0.33)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.12% (

-0.03)

28.87% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.25% (

-0.03)

64.74% (

0.04)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.73% (

0.38)

23.26% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.81% (

0.55)

57.18% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

Brentford 32.21%

Brighton & Hove Albion 42.15%

Draw 25.63%

Brentford	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.21%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.63%	0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.15%