Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 19, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
0 - 2
Juventus

Agudelo (16'), Reca (55')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kean (32'), di Maria (66')
Locatelli (1'), Fagioli (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Empoli 2-2 Spezia
Saturday, February 11 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Nantes
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

There is little hope for Spezia in this contest based on recent results - in addition to their appalling record versus Juventus - but their visitors have lost twice to Monza this term and also against Maccabi Haifa. A surprise is possible, then, but Juve's front three contains the quality to conjure goals from nearly nothing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Juventus in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Juventus
16.63% ( -0.43)	21.33% ( -0.18)	62.04% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 50.83% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.23% (

0.04)

45.77% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.91% (

0.04)

68.09% (

-0.05)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.24% (

-0.5)

40.76% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.66% (

-0.45)

77.34% (

0.44)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.8% (

0.2)

14.2% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.09% (

0.39)

41.91% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Spezia 16.63%

Juventus 62.02%

Draw 21.32%

Spezia	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.87% Total : 16.63%	1-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.32%	0-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 11.02% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.18% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 6.44% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 3.5% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.41% 0-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 62.02%