MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:40:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Parma logo
Roma logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Venezia
Serie A header desktop

Serie A
Bologna logo
Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Spezia Calcio logo

Bologna
2 - 0
Spezia

Posch (37'), Orsolini (77')
Soumaoro (61'), Posch (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gyasi (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Cremonese
Monday, January 23 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Spezia

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Roma
Sunday, January 22 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 1-0 Spezia

 A dire away record - reading two wins and four goals from nine road trips so far - means Spezia are prime targets for Bologna to defeat and secure a first home success of 2023. The visitors have become harder to beat, but their Emilian hosts are overdue a victory at Dall'Ara and can edge a close-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawSpezia
56.62% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 22.71% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 20.67% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.71% (-0.183 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.41% (-0.236 -0.24)45.59% (0.235 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.08% (-0.226 -0.23)67.91% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.11% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)15.89% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.88% (-0.178 -0.18)45.12% (0.178 0.18)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.86% (-0.145 -0.15)36.14% (0.145 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.08% (-0.148 -0.15)72.92% (0.14800000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 56.62%
    Spezia 20.67%
    Draw 22.7%
BolognaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 56.62%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.7%
0-1 @ 5.84% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 20.67%

How you voted: Bologna vs Spezia

Bologna
72.9%
Draw
19.5%
Spezia
7.6%
118
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 2pm
Spezia
2-2
Bologna
Bastoni (45+2'), Schouten (54' og.)
Holm (38')
Arnautovic (7', 64')
Feb 21, 2022 8pm
Bologna
2-1
Spezia
Arnautovic (40', 84')
Binks (19')
Manaj (11')
Manaj (22')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Spezia
0-1
Bologna

Reca (38'), Salcedo (71'), N'Zola (82')
Arnautovic (83' pen.)
Arnautovic (88')
Apr 18, 2021 2pm
Bologna
4-1
Spezia
Orsolini (12' pen.), Barrow (18'), Svanberg (54', 60')
Soumaoro (39')
Ismajli (34')
Bastoni (36')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Spezia
2-2
Bologna
N'Zola (19', 63')
Marchizza (16'), Gyasi (37'), Agoume (49'), Chabot (85'), Provedel (90+1'), Erlic (90+3')
Dominguez (72'), Barrow (90+2')
Tomiyasu (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!