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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Atalanta logo

Bologna
1 - 2
Atalanta

Orsolini (6')
Medel (66'), Lykogiannis (84'), Dominguez (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Koopmeiners (47'), Hojlund (58')
de Roon (26'), Pasalic (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Bologna
Wednesday, January 4 at 3.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, January 4 at 1.30pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 1-2 Atalanta BC

Despite their recent travails, Atalanta's away form is among the best in Serie A this season, and they now meet a Bologna side whose rhythm was disrupted by the long winter break. Perked up by their brave fightback in La Spezia, the visitors can eke out all three points and get back on the top-four trail. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
BolognaDrawAtalanta BC
29.32% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 25.45% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 45.22% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.8% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.27% (0.071999999999996 0.07)49.73% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.26% (0.064 0.06)71.74% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.37%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.03% (0.066000000000003 0.07)21.97% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.73% (0.099000000000004 0.1)55.27% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 29.32%
    Atalanta BC 45.21%
    Draw 25.45%
BolognaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 7.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.67% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 29.32%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 10.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.63% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.96% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 45.21%

How you voted: Bologna vs Atalanta

Bologna
24.1%
Draw
13.9%
Atalanta BC
62.0%
166
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Atalanta
0-0
Bologna

Gosens (36'), Luis Palomino (79')

Medel (35'), Sansone (49'), Arnautovic (53'), Hickey (58'), Svanberg (64')
Apr 25, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
5-0
Bologna
Malinovskyi (22'), Muriel (44' pen.), Freuler (57'), Zapata (59'), Miranchuk (73')

Larangeira (44')
Schouten (49')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Bologna
2-2
Atalanta
Tomiyasu (73'), Paz (82')
Mihajlovic (77'), Palacio (84'), da Costa (86')
Muriel (22' pen., 23')
Gosens (18'), Djimsiti (60')
Jul 21, 2020 6.30pm
Atalanta
1-0
Bologna
Muriel (63')
G. (36'), Freuler (70'), Gosens (83'), Colley (90+3'), de Roon (90+4')
G. (36')

Tomiyasu (30'), Denswil (36'), Larangeira (76')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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