Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

Jul 21, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
1 - 0
Bologna

Muriel (63')
G. (36'), Freuler (70'), Gosens (83'), Colley (90+3'), de Roon (90+4')
G. (36')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tomiyasu (30'), Denswil (36'), Larangeira (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A fixture between Atalanta BC and Bologna, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Bologna
71.3%	16.42%	12.28%

Both teams to score 56.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.73%

32.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.11%

53.88%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.01%

7.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.82%

28.18%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.83%

38.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.06%

74.93%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 71.3%

Bologna 12.28%

Draw 16.42%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Bologna
2-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 8.21% 3-1 @ 7.9% 1-0 @ 7.71% 4-0 @ 5.19% 4-1 @ 4.99% 3-2 @ 3.81% 5-0 @ 2.62% 5-1 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 2.41% 5-2 @ 1.22% 6-0 @ 1.1% 6-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.45% Total : 71.3%	1-1 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 4.52% 0-0 @ 3.05% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.42%	1-2 @ 3.57% 0-1 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-2 @ 1.41% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.76% Total : 12.28%