Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Atalanta BC |
21.27% ( -0.05) | 24.79% ( -0.1) | 53.95% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 48.2% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.65% ( 0.32) | 53.35% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.11% ( 0.27) | 74.89% ( -0.27) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.05% ( 0.13) | 39.95% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.39% ( 0.11) | 76.61% ( -0.11) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.27% ( 0.18) | 19.73% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.24% ( 0.3) | 51.76% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 5.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.27% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.62% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 53.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |