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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Juventus logo

Lecce
0 - 1
Juventus


Ceesay (59'), Pongracic (71'), Di Francesco (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fagioli (73')
Miretti (12'), Cuadrado (17'), Milik (23'), Gatti (29'), Iling (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Benfica 4-3 Juventus
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Lecce 0-1 Juventus

Only Lazio have kept more clean sheets than Juve's six in Serie A this season; Lecce are one of two sides yet to post a single shutout. Therefore, even if the visitors experience a Champions League hangover, they can score at least once at Via del Mare - if only from a set piece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
LecceDrawJuventus
39.54% (-0.133 -0.13) 25.89% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 34.57% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 54.39% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.12% (0.149 0.15)49.88% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13% (0.134 0.13)71.88% (-0.133 -0.13)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.83% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (0.16999999999999 0.17)27.65% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81% (0.219 0.22)63.19% (-0.219 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 39.54%
    Juventus 34.57%
    Draw 25.89%
LecceDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.54%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.86% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.57%

How you voted: Lecce vs Juventus

Lecce
12.0%
Draw
17.1%
Juventus
70.9%
117
Head to Head
Jun 26, 2020 8.45pm
Oct 26, 2019 2pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

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1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

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1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

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1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

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1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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