MX23RW : Friday, June 21 18:55:29| >> :120:19914:19914:
Benfica
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Juventus logo

Benfica
4 - 3
Juventus

Silva (17'), Mario (28' pen.), Silva (35', 50')
Fernandez (84')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kean (21'), Milik (77'), McKennie (79')
Danilo (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 0-1 Benfica
Friday, October 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 1-1 Juventus

These two European giants are experiencing very different campaigns to date, with the Eagles of Benfica flying high and apparently unbeatable; the Old Lady has significantly slowed. Nonetheless, an experienced Juve side can muster all their guile to grind out a draw - though that will not be enough for them to stay in the mix for a top-two finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 23.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawJuventus
51.24% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 25.19%23.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.77% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)52.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)74.32% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)53.09% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)37.34% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (-0.041 -0.04)74.12% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 51.24%
    Juventus 23.56%
    Draw 25.19%
BenficaDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.99%
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 51.24%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.56%
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 23.56%

How you voted: Benfica vs Juventus

Benfica
60.9%
Draw
19.9%
Juventus
19.3%
493
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2022 8pm
Group H
Juventus
1-2
Benfica
Milik (4')
Mario (43' pen.), Neres (55')
Bah (26')
Jul 28, 2018 6pm
Benfica
1-1
Juventus
Juventus win 4-2 on penalties
Grimaldo (66')
Parks (82')
Clemenza (84')
May 1, 2014 8.05pm
Juventus
0-0
Benfica

Asamoah (64')
Vucinic (90')

Salvio (0'), Rodrigo (56')
Perez (67'), Markovic (90')
Apr 24, 2014 8.05pm
Benfica
2-1
Juventus
Garay (2'), Lima (83')
Gomes (45'), Artur (71')
Tevez (73')
Pogba (44')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 21
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Sunday, June 23
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Saturday, June 29
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 France France11003
2 Austria Austria21013
3 Netherlands Netherlands11003
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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