Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Benfica1 - 1PSG
Reaction
Manchester United 'scout Benfica defender Antonio Silva against Paris Saint-Germain'
Manchester United had scouts at Benfica's Champions League clash with Paris Saint-Germain last week to watch Antonio Silva, according to a report.
Oct 9, 12:19
Lionel Messi sets fresh Champions League scoring record
Lionel Messi sets a new Champions League scoring record after finding the net in Paris Saint-Germain's 1-1 draw away against Benfica on Wednesday night.
Oct 6, 17:14
Paris Saint-Germain held by Benfica despite Lionel Messi stunner
Paris Saint-Germain's perfect run in Champions League Group H comes to an end as they are held to a 1-1 draw by Benfica at the Estadio da Luz.
Oct 5, 21:57
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Paris Saint-Germain.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Benfica.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-0 Benfica
Saturday, October 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, October 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Nice
Saturday, October 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, October 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Benfica 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain
It may require a moment of magic to decide this contest between two unbeaten heavyweights, both of whom underwhelmed at the weekend, and Benfica are not to be taken lightly on home turf. While PSG's defence is prone to the odd loss of concentration, Galtier's front three are capable of conjuring up game-defining moments on a whim, and we expect the French champions to just about edge a tight contest in Lisbon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.23%) and 3-1 (4.95%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
40.44% ( -0.03) | 22.12% ( 0.04) | 37.44% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 68.85% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
