Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 2, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica4 - 1Midtjylland
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Newcastle
Tuesday, July 26 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Tuesday, July 26 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Boavista | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Odense 1-5 Midtjylland
Friday, July 29 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Friday, July 29 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Lyngby Boldklub | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Odense | 2 | -2 | 1 |
We said: Benfica 2-1 FC Midtjylland
Midtjylland are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Benfica, but we are struggling to back the visitors with any real confidence. Benfica should do enough to claim an advantage ahead of the second leg, but we are expecting the tie to still be open heading into the return fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
| 41.67% | 23.78% ( -0.01) | 34.55% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.87% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.83% ( 0.04) | 40.17% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.46% ( 0.04) | 62.54% ( -0.04) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( 0.02) | 19.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.5% ( 0.03) | 51.5% ( -0.03) |
| FC Midtjylland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.93% ( 0.02) | 23.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.09% ( 0.03) | 56.9% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Benfica 41.67%
FC Midtjylland 34.55%
Draw 23.78%
| Benfica | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.21% Total : 41.67% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.55% |
How you voted: Benfica vs Midtjylland
Benfica
87.1%Draw
6.1%FC Midtjylland
6.8%147
Form Guide
