Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 2, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
2 - 1
Vizela

Neres (76'), Mario (90+12' pen.)
Otamendi (42'), Fernandez (51'), Mario (82'), Aursnes (84'), Ramos (89')
Ramos (90+1'), Mario (90+13')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Osmajic (20')
Guzzo (26'), Silva (45+1'), Mendez (86'), Rosa (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

Last Six:

Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Pacos de Ferreira
Tuesday, August 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Benfica	4	9	12
2	Braga	4	14	10
3	Porto	4	6	9

Vizela

Last Six:

Last Game: Vizela 2-2 Gil Vicente
Monday, August 29 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Arouca	4	-8	6
11	Vizela	4	0	5
12	Gil Vicente	4	0	5

Benfica head into the weekend as the most in-form side in the division, winning each of their last 14 games across all competitions while scoring a staggering 42 goals in that time. We are backing the 2018-19 league champions to make light work of Vizela and come away with a comfortable win in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.21%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Vizela
77.21% ( 1.41)	14.35% ( -0.96)	8.45% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 49.45% (

1.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.83% (

3.21)

34.17% (

-3.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.94% (

3.54)

56.05% (

-3.54)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.78% (

1.03)

7.22% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.81% (

2.65)

26.19% (

-2.65)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.3% (

1.24)

46.7% (

-1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.74% (

0.93)

82.26% (

-0.93)

Score Analysis

Benfica 77.2%

Vizela 8.45%

Draw 14.35%

Benfica	Draw	Vizela
2-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.67) 3-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( -1.01) 3-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.32) 4-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.41) 5-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.19) 5-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.34) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.22) 6-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.22) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.2) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.2% Total : 77.2%	1-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.59) Other @ 0.85% Total : 14.35%	1-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.33% Total : 8.45%