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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Arouca

Benfica
4 - 0
Arouca

Gilberto (8'), Silva (42', 86'), Fernandez (45+6')
Luis (55'), Weigl (82'), Silva (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Opoku (1')
Quaresma (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

Last Six:
    Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Midtjylland
    Tuesday, August 2 at 8pm in Champions League

    Arouca

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
      Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

      We said: Benfica 3-0 Arouca

       Benfica have been near-impenetrable in recent weeks and will fancy their chances against an opposing side who have lost each of the last six meetings between the teams. While we expect the visitors to put up a good fight, we are backing AS Aguias to extend their dominance in this fixture and pick up a comfortable opening-day victory. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.88%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 10.11%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

      Result
      BenficaDrawArouca
      73.88% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 16.02% (0.0039999999999978 0) 10.11% (0.067 0.07)
      Both teams to score 50.22% (0.281 0.28)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      63.16% (0.221 0.22)36.84% (-0.215 -0.22)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      40.99% (0.23999999999999 0.24)59.01% (-0.235 -0.23)
      Benfica Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      91.45% (0.040999999999997 0.04)8.55% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      70.43% (0.094999999999999 0.09)29.57% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
      Arouca Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      54.91% (0.284 0.28)45.09% (-0.279 -0.28)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      19% (0.226 0.23)81% (-0.22099999999999 -0.22)
      Score Analysis
          Benfica 73.87%
          Arouca 10.11%
          Draw 16.02%
      BenficaDrawArouca
      2-0 @ 11.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
      3-0 @ 9.56% (-0.051 -0.05)
      1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.083 -0.08)
      2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
      3-1 @ 7.61% (0.019 0.02)
      4-0 @ 5.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
      4-1 @ 4.68% (0.02 0.02)
      3-2 @ 3.03% (0.032 0.03)
      5-0 @ 2.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
      5-1 @ 2.3% (0.014 0.01)
      4-2 @ 1.86% (0.023 0.02)
      6-0 @ 1.19%
      6-1 @ 0.94% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
      5-2 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
      Other @ 2.6%
      Total : 73.87%
      		1-1 @ 7.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
      0-0 @ 3.86% (-0.04 -0.04)
      2-2 @ 3.7% (0.032 0.03)
      Other @ 0.91%
      Total : 16.02%
      		0-1 @ 3.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
      1-2 @ 3.01% (0.02 0.02)
      0-2 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
      2-3 @ 0.98% (0.016 0.02)
      Other @ 1.83%
      Total : 10.11%

      How you voted: Benfica vs Arouca

      Benfica
      88.2%
      Draw
      11.8%
      Arouca
      0.0%
      17
      Head to Head
      Jan 21, 2022 7pm
      Arouca
      0-2
      Benfica

      Adilio (46'), Moreira (56'), Quaresma (90+1'), Ba (90+3'), Kouassi (90+5')
      Nunez (32' pen.), Ramos (90+2')
      Grimaldo (43')
      Aug 14, 2021 6pm
      Benfica
      2-0
      Arouca
      Waldschmidt (38'), Yaremchuk (44')
      Rodrigues (85')

      Hugo Silva Braga (8')
      Feb 10, 2017 8.30pm
      Benfica
      3-0
      Arouca
      Mitroglou (25', 35'), Carrillo (49')
      Ederson (42')

      Adilson (30'), Tomane (52')
      Sep 9, 2016 8.30pm
      Arouca
      1-2
      Benfica
      Gonzalez (57')
      Santos (37'), Crivellaro (37'), Gege (63'), Zequinha (73'), Coelho (86'), Bernardes (91')
      Semedo (16'), Lopez (51')
      Jardel (57'), Pizzi (63'), Semedo (76'), Lopez (80')
      Jan 23, 2016 6.30pm
      Benfica
      3-1
      Arouca
      Pizzi (3'), Mitroglou (19'), Jonas (67')
      Almeida (7')
      Velasquez (91')
      Velasquez (77')
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
      2Porto6501123915
      3Benfica6411124813
      4Santa ClaraSanta Clara6402108212
      5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes640265112
      6FamalicaoFamalicao632183511
      7Braga632184411
      8MoreirenseMoreirense622289-18
      9Gil Vicente614167-17
      10Casa Pia621358-37
      11Rio AveRio Ave621358-37
      12AVS6213610-47
      13AroucaArouca620438-56
      14Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
      15BoavistaBoavista612337-45
      16Nacional6114412-84
      17Estrela Amadora602439-62
      18SC FarenseFarense6006213-110
      > Primeira Liga Full Table


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