Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 6 |
7 | Boavista | 3 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Arouca | 3 | -2 | 6 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Estoril Praia | 4 | 4 | 7 |
4 | Benfica | 2 | 5 | 6 |
5 | Portimonense | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.27%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
14.79% ( 0.2) | 20.28% ( 0.16) | 64.93% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 50% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.31% ( -0.29) | 44.69% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.94% ( -0.28) | 67.05% ( 0.28) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.46% ( 0.1) | 42.54% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.1% ( 0.09) | 78.9% ( -0.08) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.01% ( -0.19) | 12.99% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.5% ( -0.4) | 39.5% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 14.79% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.28% | 0-2 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.83% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.69% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 4% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 3.42% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 64.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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