Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Estoril Praia | 1 | 2 | 3 |
6 | Boavista | 1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Vizela | 1 | 1 | 3 |
10 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Casa Pia | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Santa Clara |
44.55% ( 0.02) | 27.43% ( 0.04) | 28.02% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 47.08% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.96% ( -0.19) | 58.04% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.28% ( -0.15) | 78.72% ( 0.15) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.07% ( -0.08) | 25.93% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.07% ( -0.11) | 60.93% ( 0.1) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.56% ( -0.15) | 36.44% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.78% ( -0.15) | 73.22% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.54% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 28.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |