Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Benfica |
20.04% (![]() | 23.86% (![]() | 56.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.16% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.84% (![]() | 51.16% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.99% (![]() | 73.01% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.01% (![]() | 39.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.36% (![]() | 76.64% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.92% (![]() | 18.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51% (![]() | 49% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 6.63% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.31% Total : 20.04% | 1-1 @ 11.33% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.23% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.44% ( ![]() Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 12.36% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.57% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.69% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 3.35% Total : 56.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |