Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Vizela | 3 | 0 | 4 |
11 | Portimonense | 2 | 2 | 3 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Boavista | 2 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 2 | 2 | 6 |
5 | Arouca | 3 | -2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.47%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
37.71% ( 0.25) | 30.07% ( 0.5) | 32.22% ( -0.75) |
Both teams to score 41.7% ( -1.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.5% ( -1.64) | 65.5% ( 1.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.76% ( -1.15) | 84.24% ( 1.15) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.49% ( -0.7) | 33.5% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.85% ( -0.78) | 70.14% ( 0.77) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.72% ( -1.45) | 37.28% ( 1.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.93% ( -1.46) | 74.07% ( 1.46) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 13.65% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.7% | 1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.74) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.06% | 0-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.78% Total : 32.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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