Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Aug 29, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
0 - 1
Casa Pia

Lameiras (41'), Varela (59'), Andre (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kunimoto (7')
Zolotic (25'), Batista (55'), Brice Eteki (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

Last Six:

Last Game: Portimonense 2-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, August 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Chaves	4	2	7
7	Vitoria de Guimaraes	3	1	6
8	Boavista	4	-3	6

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Casa Pia

Vitoria de Guimaraes will be happy to return to their home turf where they have won six of their last seven games across all competitions. We are backing the hosts to maintain this fine run and come away with all three points against a Casa Pia side who have failed to win three of their last four away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 18.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Casa Pia
57.19% ( 0.16)	24.31% ( -0.03)	18.49% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 45.47% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.19% (

-0.03)

54.8% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.89% (

-0.03)

76.11% (

0.03)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.97% (

0.05)

19.03% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.39% (

0.08)

50.61% (

-0.08)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.15% (

-0.16)

43.84% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20% (

-0.13)

79.99% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.19%

Casa Pia 18.49%

Draw 24.31%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 13.84% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.85% Total : 57.19%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.31%	0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 18.49%