Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 10.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.2%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Rio Ave |
73.76% (![]() | 15.61% (![]() | 10.62% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.86% (![]() | 33.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.11% (![]() | 54.89% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.31% (![]() | 7.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.59% (![]() | 27.41% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.43% (![]() | 41.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.94% (![]() | 78.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Rio Ave |
2-0 @ 10.51% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.23% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.99% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.2% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.9% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 3.33% Total : 73.76% | 1-1 @ 7.2% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.62% | 1-2 @ 3.16% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.31% Total : 10.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |