Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 19, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
2 - 2
Rio Ave

Martins (6'), Gouveia (80')
Gouveia (14'), Tavares (66'), Ndiaye (90+2'), Vital (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Costinha (61'), Yakubu (73')
Pantalon (10'), Amaral (22'), Vitor (83')
Ferreira (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

Last Six:

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, August 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Pacos de Ferreira	2	-4	0
16	Rio Ave	2	-4	0
17	Maritimo	2	-5	0

We said: Estoril Praia 1-0 Rio Ave

Rio Ave have struggled to get going in the big leagues, losing their opening two games of the season while shipping four goals in that time. While the home side have also failed to reach full gear, they head into the weekend as firm favourites to come out on top. Given the gulf in experience and the quality of both sides, we fancy Estoril Praia to pick up all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Rio Ave
29.01% ( 0.04)	28.8% ( 0)	42.19% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 43.93% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.73% (

0.01)

62.27% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.06% (

0.01)

81.93% (

-0.01)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.04% (

0.04)

37.96% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.27% (

0.04)

74.73% (

-0.04)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.81% (

-0.02)

29.19% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.87% (

-0.02)

65.13% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 29.01%

Rio Ave 42.19%

Draw 28.79%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 29.01%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.79%	0-1 @ 13.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.51% Total : 42.19%