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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Rio Ave

Estoril
2 - 2
Rio Ave

Martins (6'), Gouveia (80')
Gouveia (14'), Tavares (66'), Ndiaye (90+2'), Vital (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Costinha (61'), Yakubu (73')
Pantalon (10'), Amaral (22'), Vitor (83')
Ferreira (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, August 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, August 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-0 Rio Ave

Rio Ave have struggled to get going in the big leagues, losing their opening two games of the season while shipping four goals in that time. While the home side have also failed to reach full gear, they head into the weekend as firm favourites to come out on top. Given the gulf in experience and the quality of both sides, we fancy Estoril Praia to pick up all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawRio Ave
29.01% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 28.8% (0.0010000000000012 0) 42.19% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Both teams to score 43.93% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)62.27% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)81.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (0.039000000000001 0.04)37.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (0.038 0.04)74.73% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)29.19% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)65.13% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 29.01%
    Rio Ave 42.19%
    Draw 28.79%
Estoril PraiaDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.4% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.07% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 29.01%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.0029999999999997 0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.79%
0-1 @ 13.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 42.19%

How you voted: Estoril vs Rio Ave

Estoril Praia
72.2%
Draw
13.9%
Rio Ave
13.9%
36
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2018 6.15pm
Rio Ave
2-0
Estoril
Pele (12' pen.), Geraldes (39')
Pele (34'), Marcelo (55'), Geraldes (90')

Andrade (43'), Halliche (48')
Miguel Lopes Mendes (90')
Nov 4, 2017 6.15pm
Estoril
0-2
Rio Ave

Mano (76'), Kleber (82'), Kyriakou (86')
Novais (42'), Guedes (86')
Tarantini (73'), Marcelo (81')
Mar 6, 2017 8pm
Estoril
0-2
Rio Ave

Eduardo (22'), Kleber (27'), Ricardo Silva Afonso (45'), Indio (55'), Dankler (72'), Carlinhos (89')
Guedes (20'), Bastiao Dias (91')
Oct 1, 2016 11.45am
Rio Ave
1-2
Estoril
Krovinovic (25')
Wakaso (66'), Ribeiro (71'), dos Santos Ferreira (73')
Indio (16'), Amado (45')
Mattheus (26'), Eduardo (72')
Mar 7, 2016 8pm
Rio Ave
1-3
Estoril
Postiga (82')
Edimar (56')
Mattheus (25', 51'), Bonatini (56' pen.)
Fernando (45'), Diego (60'), Taira (67')
Diego (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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