Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 6, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
2 - 0
Famalicao

Geraldes (20'), Arthur (45')
Geraldes (39'), Vital (70'), Esteves (90+5'), Joaozinho (90+8')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Colombatto (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

Last Six:

Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Fulham
Sunday, July 24 at 5.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Chaves	0	0	0
6	Estoril Praia	0	0	0
7	Famalicao	0	0	0

Famalicao

Last Six:

Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Estoril Praia	0	0	0
7	Famalicao	0	0	0
8	Gil Vicente	0	0	0

We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Famalicao

Last season showed these two sides are evenly matched, and, both going through major squad changes, we do not envisage either making a blistering start to the season with a dominant performance. Ultimately, we opt for a share of the spoils which should be relatively pleasing for each team as they look to settle into the new term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Famalicao
29.29% ( -2.01)	28.24% ( -0.27)	42.46% ( 2.28)

Both teams to score 45.55% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.68% (

0.33)

60.32% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.52% (

0.25)

80.48% (

-0.24)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.34% (

-1.35)

36.66% (

1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.55% (

-1.38)

73.45% (

1.38)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91% (

1.44)

28.09% (

-1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.24% (

1.79)

63.76% (

-1.78)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 29.29%

Famalicao 42.46%

Draw 28.23%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.85% Total : 29.29%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.23%	0-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.54) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.36) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.15) Other @ 1.72% Total : 42.46%