Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 9, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio do Restelo
Belenenses2 - 3Famalicao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
| 18 | Belenenses | 34 | -32 | 26 |
Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
We said: Belenenses 2-1 Famalicao
Needing a win to keep their survival hopes alive, we expect Belenenses to come out with guns blazing on Monday and take the game to the visitors. Famalicao's struggles for results on the road make the hosts slight favourites and we predict O Belem will take the positives from their defeat to Braga and grind out the win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Famalicao |
29.22% ( 2.46) | 26.24% ( 0.19) | 44.54% ( -2.65) |
| Both teams to score 51.27% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
